Risk of Conversion to Total Hip Arthroplasty Following Periacetabular Osteotomy (PAO) for Hip Dysplasia

Logistic regression–based risk estimation at 5 and 10 years (research tool; not a validated clinical decision aid).

Inputs

Continuous predictor in both models.
Used to calculate BMI.
Used to calculate BMI.
BMI is computed automatically from height and weight, or can be entered directly.
Obesity (BMI ≥ 30): —
Used only in the 5-year model.

Results

Risk of THA ≤ 5 years

Not calculated
Model (5y): logit(p) = β0 + βAge·Age + βTönnis·Tönnis + βAI13·(AI≥13)

Risk of THA ≤ 10 years

Not calculated
Model (10y): logit(p) = β0 + βAge·Age + βTönnis·Tönnis + βObesity·(BMI≥30)

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